Demographic Change, Social Security Systems, and Savings /

Bloom, David E.

Demographic Change, Social Security Systems, and Savings / David E. Bloom, David Canning, Rick Mansfield, Michael Moore. - Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2006. - 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white); - NBER working paper series no. w12621 . - Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w12621. .

October 2006.

In theory, improvements in healthy life expectancy should generate increases in the average age of retirement, with little effect on savings rates. In many countries, however, retirement incentives in social security programs prevent retirement ages from keeping pace with changes in life expectancy, leading to an increased need for life-cycle savings. Analyzing a cross-country panel of macroeconomic data, we find that increased longevity raises aggregate savings rates in countries with universal pension coverage and retirement incentives, though the effect disappears in countries with pay-as-you-go systems and high replacement rates.




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