MARC details
| 000 -CABECERA |
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| Longitud fija campo de control |
03792cam a22003377 4500 |
| 001 - NÚMERO DE CONTROL |
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| Número de control |
w10851 |
| 003 - IDENTIFICADOR DELl NÚMERO DE CONTROL |
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| Identificador del número de control |
NBER |
| 005 - FECHA Y HORA DE LA ÚLTIMA TRANSACCIÓN |
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| Fecha y hora de la última transacción |
20211020112702.0 |
| 006 - CÓDIGOS DE INFORMACIÓN DE LONGITUD FIJA - CARACTERÍSTICAS DEL MATERIAL ADICIONAL |
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| Códigos de información de longitud fija - Características del material adicional |
m o d |
| 007 - CAMPO FIJO DE DESCRIPCIÓN FÍSICA |
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| Campo fijo de descripción física |
cr cnu|||||||| |
| 008 - CÓDIGOS DE INFORMACIÓN DE LONGITUD FIJA |
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| Códigos de información de longitud fija |
210910s2004 mau fo 000 0 eng d |
| 100 1# - PUNTO DE ACCESO PRINCIPAL-NOMBRE DE PERSONA |
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| Nombre de persona |
<a href="Poterba, James.">Poterba, James.</a> |
| 245 14 - TÍTULO PROPIAMENTE DICHO |
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| Título |
The Impact of Population Aging on Financial Markets / |
| Mención de responsabilidad, etc. |
James Poterba. |
| 260 ## - PUBLICACIÓN, DISTRIBUCIÓN, ETC. (PIE DE IMPRENTA) |
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| Lugar de publicación, distribución, etc. |
Cambridge, Mass. |
| Nombre del editor, distribuidor, etc. |
National Bureau of Economic Research |
| Fecha de publicación, distribución, etc. |
2004. |
| 300 ## - DESCRIPCIÓN FÍSICA |
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| Extensión |
1 online resource: |
| Otras características físicas |
illustrations (black and white); |
| 490 1# - MENCIÓN DE SERIE |
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| Mención de serie |
NBER working paper series |
| Designación de volumen o secuencia |
no. w10851 |
| 500 ## - NOTA GENERAL |
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| Nota general |
October 2004. |
| 520 3# - NOTA DE SUMARIO |
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| Sumario, etc, |
A number of financial market analysts have argued that the aging of the "Baby Boom" cohort contributed to the rise U.S. asset values during the 1990s, and that asset prices will decline when this group reaches retirement age and begins to draw down its wealth. This paper explores the importance of changing demographic structure for asset returns, asset prices, and the composition of household balance sheets in the United States. Standard models suggest that equilibrium returns on financial assets will vary in response to changes in population age structure. While the direction of the effect of demographic changes is not controversial, the quantitative importance of such changes for financial markets is open to debate. The paper presents several strands of empirical evidence that bear on this issue. First, it describes current age-specific patterns of asset holding in the United States, and finds that asset holdings rise sharply when households are in their 30s and 40s. Aside from the automatic decline in the value of defined benefit pension assets as households age, however, other financial assets decline only gradually during retirement. When these data are used to project asset demands in light of the future age structure of the U.S. population, they do not show a sharp decline in asset demand between 2020 and 2050. This finding calls into question the "asset market meltdown" view. Second, the paper considers the historical association between population age structure and real returns on Treasury bills, long-term government bonds, and corporate stock. The evidence suggests only modest effects, if any, of a changing demographic mix. Statistical tests based on the few effective degrees of freedom in the historical record of age structure and asset returns have limited power to detect such effects. There is a stronger historical correlation between asset levels, as measured for example by the price-dividend ratio, and summary measures of the population age structure. Once again, however, the results are sensitive to choices about econometric specification. These empirical findings provide modest support, at best, for the view that asset prices could decline as the share of households over the age of 65 increases. |
| 530 ## - NOTA DE FORMATO FÍSICO ADICIONAL DISPONIBLE |
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| Nota de formato físico adicional disponible |
Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers |
| 538 ## - NOTA DE DETALLES DEL SISITEMA |
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| Nota de detalles del sistema |
System requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files. |
| 538 ## - NOTA DE DETALLES DEL SISITEMA |
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| Nota de detalles del sistema |
Mode of access: World Wide Web. |
| 588 0# - NOTA DE FUENTE DE LA DESCRIPCIÓN |
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| Nota de fuente de la descripción |
Print version record |
| 690 #7 - CAMPOS LOCALES DE ENCABEZAMIENTO DE MATERIA |
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| Término local o nombre geográfico como elemento de entrada |
G12 - Asset Pricing • Trading Volume • Bond Interest Rates |
| Fuente de encabezamiento o término |
Journal of Economic Literature class. |
| 690 #7 - CAMPOS LOCALES DE ENCABEZAMIENTO DE MATERIA |
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| Término local o nombre geográfico como elemento de entrada |
J11 - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts |
| Fuente de encabezamiento o término |
Journal of Economic Literature class. |
| 690 #7 - CAMPOS LOCALES DE ENCABEZAMIENTO DE MATERIA |
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| Término local o nombre geográfico como elemento de entrada |
J14 - Economics of the Elderly • Economics of the Handicapped • Non-Labor Market Discrimination |
| Fuente de encabezamiento o término |
Journal of Economic Literature class. |
| 710 2# - PUNTO DE ACCESO ADICIONAL - NOMBRE DE ENTIDAD |
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| Nombre de entidad o nombre de jurisdicción como elemento inicial |
National Bureau of Economic Research. |
| 830 #0 - PUNTO DE ACCESO ADICIONAL DE SERIE - TÍTULO UNIFORME |
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| Título uniforme |
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) |
| Designación de volumen o secuencia |
no. w10851. |
| 856 40 - LOCALIZACIÓN Y ACCESO ELECTRÓNICO |
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| Identificador Uniforme del Recurso (URI) |
<a href="https://www.nber.org/papers/w10851">https://www.nber.org/papers/w10851</a> |
| 856 ## - LOCALIZACIÓN Y ACCESO ELECTRÓNICO |
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| Texto del enlace |
Acceso en línea al DOI |
| Identificador Uniforme del Recurso (URI) |
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w10851">http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w10851</a> |
| 942 ## - ENTRADA DE ELEMENTOS AGREGADOS (KOHA) |
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| Fuente de clasificaión o esquema |
Dewey Decimal Classification |
| Koha [por defecto] tipo de item |
Working Paper |
