The End of Economic Growth? Unintended Consequences of a Declining Population / Charles I. Jones.

By:

Jones, Charles I

Contributor(s):

National Bureau of Economic Research

Material type: Text

TextSeries: Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ; no. w26651.Publication details: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2020.Description: 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white)Subject(s):

Online resources:

Available additional physical forms:

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Abstract: In many models, economic growth is driven by people discovering new ideas. These models typically assume either a constant or a growing population. However, in high income countries today, fertility is already below its replacement rate: women are having fewer than two children on average. It is a distinct possibility -- highlighted in the recent book, "Empty Planet" -- that global population will decline rather than stabilize in the long run. What happens to economic growth when population growth turns negative?

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Holdings
Item type	Home library	Collection	Call number	Status	Date due	Barcode	Item holds
Working Paper	Biblioteca Digital	Colección NBER	nber w26651 (Browse shelf(Opens below))	Not For Loan

Total holds: 0

January 2020.

In many models, economic growth is driven by people discovering new ideas. These models typically assume either a constant or a growing population. However, in high income countries today, fertility is already below its replacement rate: women are having fewer than two children on average. It is a distinct possibility -- highlighted in the recent book, "Empty Planet" -- that global population will decline rather than stabilize in the long run. What happens to economic growth when population growth turns negative?