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Mood Betas and Seasonalities in Stock Returns / David Hirshleifer, Danling Jiang, Yuting Meng.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ; no. w24676.Publication details: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2018.Description: 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white)Subject(s): Online resources: Available additional physical forms:
  • Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
Abstract: Existing research has documented cross-sectional seasonality of stock returns--the periodic outperformance of certain stocks during the same calendar months or weekdays. A model in which assets differ in their sensitivities to investor mood explains these effects and implies other seasonal patterns. We find that relative performance across individual stocks or stock portfolios during past high or low mood months and weekdays tends to <i>recur/reverse</i> in periods with congruent/noncongruent mood. Furthermore, assets with higher sensitivities to aggregate mood--higher <i>mood betas</i>-- subsequently earn higher/lower returns during high/low mood periods, including those induced by Daylight Saving Time changes, weather conditions and anticipation of major holidays.
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June 2018.

Existing research has documented cross-sectional seasonality of stock returns--the periodic outperformance of certain stocks during the same calendar months or weekdays. A model in which assets differ in their sensitivities to investor mood explains these effects and implies other seasonal patterns. We find that relative performance across individual stocks or stock portfolios during past high or low mood months and weekdays tends to <i>recur/reverse</i> in periods with congruent/noncongruent mood. Furthermore, assets with higher sensitivities to aggregate mood--higher <i>mood betas</i>-- subsequently earn higher/lower returns during high/low mood periods, including those induced by Daylight Saving Time changes, weather conditions and anticipation of major holidays.

Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers

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