Estimating Loan-to-Value and Foreclosure Behavior / Arthur Korteweg, Morten Sorensen.
Material type:
- C11 - Bayesian Analysis: General
- C23 - Panel Data Models • Spatio-temporal Models
- C24 - Truncated and Censored Models • Switching Regression Models • Threshold Regression Models
- C43 - Index Numbers and Aggregation
- R21 - Housing Demand
- R3 - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location
- Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
Item type | Home library | Collection | Call number | Status | Date due | Barcode | Item holds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Working Paper | Biblioteca Digital | Colección NBER | nber w17882 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | Not For Loan |
March 2012.
We develop and estimate a unified model of house prices, loan-to-value ratios (LTVs), and trade and foreclosure behavior. House prices are only observed for traded properties, and trades are endogenous, creating sample-selection problems for traditional estimators. We develop a Bayesian filtering procedure to recover the price path for each individual property and produce selection-corrected estimates of historical LTVs and foreclosure behavior, both showing large unprecedented changes since 2007. Our model reduces the index revision problem by nearly half, and has applications in economics and finance (e.g., pricing mortgage-backed securities).
Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
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