NAFTA's and CUSFTA's Impact on International Trade / John Romalis.
Material type: TextSeries: Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ; no. w11059.Publication details: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2005.Description: 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white)Subject(s): Online resources: Available additional physical forms:- Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
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Working Paper | Biblioteca Digital | Colección NBER | nber w11059 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | Not For Loan |
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January 2005.
This paper identifies the effects of preferential trade agreements on trade volumes and prices using detailed trade and tariff data. It identifies demand elasticities by developing a difference in differences based method that exploits the fact that the additional wedge driven between consumption patterns in a liberalizing versus a non-liberalizing country is directly related to the tariff reduction. Supply elasticities are identified by using tariffs as instruments for observed quantities. Analysis of world-wide trade data for 5,000 commodities shows that NAFTA and CUSFTA have had a substantial impact on international trade volumes, but a modest effect on prices and welfare. NAFTA and CUSFTA increased North American output and prices in many highly-protected sectors by driving out imports from non-member countries.
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