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A Time Series Analysis of Representative Agent Models of Consumption andLeisure Choice Under Uncertainty / Martin S. Eichenbaum, Lars Peter Hansen, Kenneth J. Singleton.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ; no. w1981.Publication details: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 1986.Description: 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white)Online resources: Available additional physical forms:
  • Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
Abstract: This paper investigates empirically a model of aggregate consumption andAbstract: leisure decisions in which goods and leisure provide services over time. TheAbstract: implied time non-separability of preferences introduces an endogenous source ofAbstract: dynamics which affects both the co-movements in aggregate compensation and hoursAbstract: worked and the cross-relations between prices and quantities. These cross-relationsAbstract: are examined empirically using post-war monthly U.S. data on quantities,Abstract: real wages and the real return on the one-month Treasury bill. We findAbstract: substantial evidence against the overidentifying restrictions. The test resultsAbstract: suggest that the orthogonality conditions associated with the representativeAbstract: consumer's intratemporal Euler equation underlie the failure of the model.Abstract: Additionally, the estimated values of key parameters differ significantly fromAbstract: the values assumed in several studies of real business models. Several possibleAbstract: reasons for these discrepancies are discussed.
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July 1986.

This paper investigates empirically a model of aggregate consumption and

leisure decisions in which goods and leisure provide services over time. The

implied time non-separability of preferences introduces an endogenous source of

dynamics which affects both the co-movements in aggregate compensation and hours

worked and the cross-relations between prices and quantities. These cross-relations

are examined empirically using post-war monthly U.S. data on quantities,

real wages and the real return on the one-month Treasury bill. We find

substantial evidence against the overidentifying restrictions. The test results

suggest that the orthogonality conditions associated with the representative

consumer's intratemporal Euler equation underlie the failure of the model.

Additionally, the estimated values of key parameters differ significantly from

the values assumed in several studies of real business models. Several possible

reasons for these discrepancies are discussed.

Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers

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