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The Labour Market Impact of Rapid Ageing of Government Employees [electronic resource]: Some Illustrative Scenarios / Jens Høj and Sylvie Toly = Conséquences sur le marché du travail du vieillissement rapide des employés du secteur public / Jens Høj et Sylvie Toly

By: Contributor(s): Material type: ArticleArticleSeries: OECD Economics Department Working Papers ; no.441.Publication details: Paris : OECD Publishing, 2005.Description: 28 p. ; 21 x 29.7cmOther title:
  • Conséquences sur le marché du travail du vieillissement rapide des employés du secteur public
Subject(s): Other classification:
  • J45
  • H11
  • J11
  • O57
Online resources: Abstract: This paper estimates and discusses some of the potential labour market implications arising from the rapid ageing of government employees in a number of OECD countries. Under alternative scenarios for future public employment policies, available labour resources for the private sector are estimated taking into account the declining age cohorts entering the labour market. These scenarios suggest that, in the absence of considerable increases in labour utilisation, maintaining government sector hiring at their historical share of new labour market entrants will entail sharp declines in the production of government services. On the other hand, if present levels of government services are to be preserved, governments are likely to hire an increasing share of labour market entrants, creating a strong crowding-out effect for the private sector. Alternatively, productivity in the government sector would have to increase substantially.
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Item type Home library Collection Call number Status Date due Barcode Item holds
Working Paper Biblioteca Digital Colección OECD OECD 231461163325 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Not For Loan
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This paper estimates and discusses some of the potential labour market implications arising from the rapid ageing of government employees in a number of OECD countries. Under alternative scenarios for future public employment policies, available labour resources for the private sector are estimated taking into account the declining age cohorts entering the labour market. These scenarios suggest that, in the absence of considerable increases in labour utilisation, maintaining government sector hiring at their historical share of new labour market entrants will entail sharp declines in the production of government services. On the other hand, if present levels of government services are to be preserved, governments are likely to hire an increasing share of labour market entrants, creating a strong crowding-out effect for the private sector. Alternatively, productivity in the government sector would have to increase substantially.

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