The use of short-term indicators and survey data for predicting turning points in economic activity [electronic resource]: A performance analysis of the OECD system of CLIs during the Great Recession / Roberto Astolfi ... [et al]
Material type:
ArticleSeries: OECD Statistics Working Papers ; no.2016/08.Publication details: Paris : OECD Publishing, 2016.Description: 35 p. ; 21 x 29.7cmSubject(s): Online resources: Abstract: After reviewing the main features of the statistics available in the MEI to inform policy makers, this paper discusses the performance of the CLIs during the Great Recession. This performance is assessed using both ex-post and real-time analyses. The analyses evaluate the ability of the OECD CLIs to anticipate the peak and the subsequent trough of the Great Recession in G7 countries, and the extent to which the initial signal has been maintained over time.
| Item type | Home library | Collection | Call number | Status | Date due | Barcode | Item holds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Working Paper | Biblioteca Digital | Colección OECD | OECD 5jlz4gs2pkhf-en (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | Not For Loan |
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After reviewing the main features of the statistics available in the MEI to inform policy makers, this paper discusses the performance of the CLIs during the Great Recession. This performance is assessed using both ex-post and real-time analyses. The analyses evaluate the ability of the OECD CLIs to anticipate the peak and the subsequent trough of the Great Recession in G7 countries, and the extent to which the initial signal has been maintained over time.
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