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Hidden Collective Factors in Speculative Trading [electronic resource] : A Study in Analytical Economics / by Bertrand M. Roehner.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextPublisher: Berlin, Heidelberg : Springer Berlin Heidelberg : Imprint: Springer, 2001Edition: 1st ed. 2001Description: XV, 229 p. 17 illus. online resourceContent type:
  • text
Media type:
  • computer
Carrier type:
  • online resource
ISBN:
  • 9783662044285
Subject(s): Additional physical formats: Printed edition:: No title; Printed edition:: No title; Printed edition:: No titleDDC classification:
  • 332
LOC classification:
  • HG1-9999
Online resources:
Contents:
I Prologue -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Overall view of speculative markets -- II Hidden Collective Determinants -- 3 Rational? -- 4 Joint crashes -- 5 Contagion of speculative frenzy -- III Regularities in Speculative Episodes -- 6 Peak amplitude: the price multiplier effect -- 7 Peak shape: the sharp peak - flat trough pattern -- 8 Stock market bubbles -- IV Epilogue -- 9 Conclusion -- 10 Selected data -- References.
In: Springer Nature eBookSummary: Besides analyzing stock markets, the book considers a wide range of speculative markets for various items such as real estate, commodities , postage-stamps, antiquarian books. In particular, it highlights the following regularities:(i) During a speculative episode, the price of expensive items increases more than the price of less expensive items. This is referred to as price multiplier effect.(ii) Price peaks for stocks and most commodities on average follow a well-defined pattern that we call the sharp peak - flat through pattern; in contrast real estate price peaks follow a flat peak pattern.(iii) The stocks whose prices experience the strongest increase during a bull market, better resist during the subsequent bear market, an effect referred to as the resilience pattern. Such regularities pave the way for a mathematical theory of speculation. Being mainly empirical, the book is easy to read and does not require technical prerequisites in finance, economics or mathematics.
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Item type Home library Collection Call number Status Date due Barcode Item holds
E-Book E-Book Biblioteca Digital Colección SPRINGER 332 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Not For Loan
Total holds: 0

I Prologue -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Overall view of speculative markets -- II Hidden Collective Determinants -- 3 Rational? -- 4 Joint crashes -- 5 Contagion of speculative frenzy -- III Regularities in Speculative Episodes -- 6 Peak amplitude: the price multiplier effect -- 7 Peak shape: the sharp peak - flat trough pattern -- 8 Stock market bubbles -- IV Epilogue -- 9 Conclusion -- 10 Selected data -- References.

Besides analyzing stock markets, the book considers a wide range of speculative markets for various items such as real estate, commodities , postage-stamps, antiquarian books. In particular, it highlights the following regularities:(i) During a speculative episode, the price of expensive items increases more than the price of less expensive items. This is referred to as price multiplier effect.(ii) Price peaks for stocks and most commodities on average follow a well-defined pattern that we call the sharp peak - flat through pattern; in contrast real estate price peaks follow a flat peak pattern.(iii) The stocks whose prices experience the strongest increase during a bull market, better resist during the subsequent bear market, an effect referred to as the resilience pattern. Such regularities pave the way for a mathematical theory of speculation. Being mainly empirical, the book is easy to read and does not require technical prerequisites in finance, economics or mathematics.

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