Strategic or Confused Firms? Evidence from "Missing" Transactions in Uganda / Miguel Almunia, Jonas Hjort, Justine Knebelmann, Lin Tian.
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Item type | Home library | Collection | Call number | Status | Date due | Barcode | Item holds | |
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Working Paper | Biblioteca Digital | Colección NBER | nber w29059 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | Not For Loan |
July 2021.
Are firms sophisticated maximizers, or do they consistently make errors? Using transaction-level data from Ugandan value-added tax (VAT) returns, we show that sellers and buyers report different amounts 79% of the time, despite invoices being easily cross-checked. We estimate that 25% of firms are disadvantageous misreporters--they systematically misreport own sales and purchases such that their tax liability increases--while 75% are advantageous misreporters. Many firms--especially disadvantageous misreporters--fail to report imported inputs they themselves reported at Customs, increasing their VAT liability. On net, unilateral VAT misreporting cost Uganda about US$384 million in foregone 2013-2016 tax revenue
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