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Dollar Rivals / Jeffrey A. Frankel.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ; no. w31476.Publication details: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2023.Description: 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white)Subject(s): Other classification:
  • F33
Online resources: Available additional physical forms:
  • Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
Abstract: Written on the 50th anniversary of floating exchange rates, this paper deals with possible alternatives to a unipolar dollar-based system. It considers (1) measures of international currency use; (2) potential challengers to the dollar; (3) network externalities; and (4) the plausibility of gold and digital currencies, as alternatives to regular currencies. On the one hand, network externalities operate in favor of the status quo: the dollar as the single leading international currency. On the other hand, the danger of abuse of exorbitant privilege - for example, by debasing the currency or repeated use of sanctions - operates in favor of challengers. A good guess is that the dollar will continue to lose market share slowly to others, but will remain in the lead.
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July 2023.

Written on the 50th anniversary of floating exchange rates, this paper deals with possible alternatives to a unipolar dollar-based system. It considers (1) measures of international currency use; (2) potential challengers to the dollar; (3) network externalities; and (4) the plausibility of gold and digital currencies, as alternatives to regular currencies. On the one hand, network externalities operate in favor of the status quo: the dollar as the single leading international currency. On the other hand, the danger of abuse of exorbitant privilege - for example, by debasing the currency or repeated use of sanctions - operates in favor of challengers. A good guess is that the dollar will continue to lose market share slowly to others, but will remain in the lead.

Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers

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