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The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers / Ethan M. L. McClure, Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ; no. w29986.Publication details: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2022.Description: 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white)Subject(s): Other classification:
  • E3
  • E4
  • E5
Online resources: Available additional physical forms:
  • Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
Abstract: Using responses obtained through the Nielsen Homescan panel survey, we explore the differences between managers' and non-managers' expectations and perceptions of inflation and unemployment. By and large, managers and non-managers exhibit similar average inflation and unemployment expectations as well as similar levels of disagreement and sensitivity to information provided in a randomized control trial. Finally, the inflation expectations of managers deviate systematically from the predictions of "anchored" expectations.
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April 2022.

Using responses obtained through the Nielsen Homescan panel survey, we explore the differences between managers' and non-managers' expectations and perceptions of inflation and unemployment. By and large, managers and non-managers exhibit similar average inflation and unemployment expectations as well as similar levels of disagreement and sensitivity to information provided in a randomized control trial. Finally, the inflation expectations of managers deviate systematically from the predictions of "anchored" expectations.

Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers

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