TY - BOOK AU - Clements,Michael Paul AU - Hendry,David F. TI - Forecasting economic time series / SN - 0521634806 U1 - 330.1 21 PY - 1998/// CY - Cambridge : PB - Cambridge University Press, KW - Proyecciones económicas KW - Modelos econométricos N1 - Glosario : p. 335-337; Incluye referencias bibliográficas (páginas 339-358) e índice; 1 An introduction to forecasting -- 2 First principles -- 3 Evaluating forecast accuracy -- 4 Forecasting in univariate processes -- 5 Monte carlo techniques -- 6 Forecasting in cointegrated systems -- 7 Forecasting with large-scale macroeconometric models -- 8 A theory of intercept corrections: beyond mechanistic forecasts -- 9 Forecasting using leading indicators -- 10 Combining forecasts -- 11 Multi-step estimation -- 12 Parsimony -- 13 Testing forecast accuracy -- 14 Postcript – Glossary ER -