TY - BOOK AU - Del Negro,Marco AU - Lenza,Michele AU - Primiceri,Giorgio E. AU - Tambalotti,Andrea ED - National Bureau of Economic Research. TI - What’s up with the Phillips Curve? T2 - NBER working paper series PY - 2020/// CY - Cambridge, Mass. PB - National Bureau of Economic Research N1 - April 2020; Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers N2 - The business cycle is alive and well, and real variables respond to it more or less as they always did. Witness the Great Recession. Inflation, in contrast, has gone quiescent. This paper studies the sources of this disconnect using VARs and an estimated DSGE model. It finds that the disconnect is due primarily to the muted reaction of inflation to cost pressures, regardless of how they are measured--a flat aggregate supply curve. A shift in policy towards more forceful inflation stabilization also appears to have played some role by reducing the impact of demand shocks on the real economy. The evidence rules out stories centered around changes in the structure of the labor market or in how we should measure its tightness UR - https://www.nber.org/papers/w27003 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w27003 ER -