TY  - BOOK
AU  - Jones,Charles I.
ED  - National Bureau of Economic Research.
TI  - The End of Economic Growth? Unintended Consequences of a Declining Population
T2  - NBER working paper series
PY  - 2020///
CY  - Cambridge, Mass.
PB  - National Bureau of Economic Research
N1  - January 2020; Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
N2  - In many models, economic growth is driven by people discovering new ideas. These models typically assume either a constant or a growing population. However, in high income countries today, fertility is already below its replacement rate: women are having fewer than two children on average. It is a distinct possibility -- highlighted in the recent book, "Empty Planet" -- that global population will decline rather than stabilize in the long run. What happens to economic growth when population growth turns negative?
UR  - https://www.nber.org/papers/w26651
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w26651
ER  -