Brynjolfsson, Erik.

Does Machine Translation Affect International Trade? Evidence from a Large Digital Platform / Erik Brynjolfsson, Xiang Hui, Meng Liu. - Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2018. - 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white); - NBER working paper series no. w24917 . - Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w24917. .

August 2018.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is surpassing human performance in a growing number of domains. However, there is limited evidence of its economic effects. Using data from a digital platform, we study a key application of AI: machine translation. We find that the introduction of a machine translation system has significantly increased international trade on this platform, increasing exports by 17.5%. Furthermore, heterogeneous treatment effects are all consistent with a substantial reduction in translation-related search costs. Our results provide causal evidence that language barriers significantly hinder trade and that AI has already begun to improve economic efficiency in at least one domain.




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