Chen, Zhao.
Notching R&D Investment with Corporate Income Tax Cuts in China /
Zhao Chen, Zhikuo Liu, Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, Daniel Yi Xu.
- Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2018.
- 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
- NBER working paper series no. w24749 .
- Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w24749. .
June 2018.
We study a Chinese policy that awards substantial tax cuts to firms with R&D investment over a threshold or "notch." Quasi-experimental variation and administrative tax data show a significant increase in reported R&D that is partly driven by firms relabeling expenses as R&D. Structural estimates show relabeling accounts for 24.2% of reported R&D and that productivity increases by 9% when real R&D doubles. Policy simulations show firm selection and relabeling determine the cost-effectiveness of stimulating R&D, that notch-based policies are more effective than tax credits when relabeling is prevalent, and that modest spillovers justify the program from a welfare perspective.
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