Du, Wenxin.
Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity /
Wenxin Du, Alexander Tepper, Adrien Verdelhan.
- Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2017.
- 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
- NBER working paper series no. w23170 .
- Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w23170. .
February 2017.
We find that deviations from the covered interest rate parity condition (CIP) imply large, persistent, and systematic arbitrage opportunities in one of the largest asset markets in the world. Contrary to the common view, these deviations for major currencies are not explained away by credit risk or transaction costs. They are particularly strong for forward contracts that appear on the banks' balance sheets at the end of the quarter, pointing to a causal effect of banking regulation on asset prices. The CIP deviations also appear significantly correlated with other fixed-income spreads and with nominal interest rates.
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