Dordal-i-Carreras, Marc.
Infrequent but Long-Lived Zero-Bound Episodes and the Optimal Rate of Inflation /
Marc Dordal-i-Carreras, Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Johannes Wieland.
- Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2016.
- 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
- NBER working paper series no. w22510 .
- Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w22510. .
August 2016.
Countries rarely hit the zero-lower bound on interest rates, but when they do, these episodes tend to be very long-lived. These two features are difficult to jointly incorporate into macroeconomic models using typical representations of shock processes. We introduce a regime switching representation of risk premium shocks into an otherwise standard New Keynesian model to generate a realistic distribution of ZLB durations. We discuss what different calibrations of this model imply for optimal inflation rates.
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