Feenstra, Robert C.
Who Shrunk China? Puzzles in the Measurement of Real GDP /
Robert C. Feenstra, Hong Ma, J. Peter Neary, D.S. Prasada Rao.
- Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2012.
- 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
- NBER working paper series no. w17729 .
- Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w17729. .
January 2012.
The latest World Bank estimates of real GDP per capita for China are significantly lower than previous ones. We review possible sources of this puzzle and conclude that it reflects a combination of factors, including substitution bias in consumption, reliance on urban prices which we estimate are higher than rural ones, and the use of an expenditure-weighted rather than an output-weighted measure of GDP. Taking all these together, we estimate that real per-capita GDP in China was 50% higher relative to the U.S. in 2005 than the World Bank estimates.
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