TY - BOOK AU - Vayanos,Dimitri AU - Vila,Jean-Luc ED - National Bureau of Economic Research. TI - A Preferred-Habitat Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates T2 - NBER working paper series PY - 2009/// CY - Cambridge, Mass. PB - National Bureau of Economic Research N1 - November 2009; Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers N2 - We model the term structure of interest rates as resulting from the interaction between investor clienteles with preferences for specific maturities and risk-averse arbitrageurs. Because arbitrageurs are risk averse, shocks to clienteles' demand for bonds affect the term structure---and constitute an additional determinant of bond prices to current and expected future short rates. At the same time, because arbitrageurs render the term structure arbitrage-free, demand effects satisfy no-arbitrage restrictions and can be quite different from the underlying shocks. We show that the preferred-habitat view of the term structure generates a rich set of implications for bond risk premia, the effects of demand shocks and of shocks to short-rate expectations, the economic role of carry trades, and the transmission of monetary policy UR - https://www.nber.org/papers/w15487 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w15487 ER -