Horioka, Charles Yuji. <br/><br/>
Aging, Saving, and Public Pensions in Japan / 
Charles Yuji Horioka, Wataru Suzuki, Tatsuo Hatta. 
 - Cambridge, Mass.  National Bureau of Economic Research  2007. 
 - 1 online resource:  illustrations (black and white); 
 - NBER working paper series  no. w13273 .
 - Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)  no. w13273. .
<br/><br/> July 2007. 
<br/><br/> We analyze the impact of population aging on Japan's household saving rate and on its public pension system and the impact of that system on Japan's household saving rate and obtain the following results: first, the age structure of Japan's population can explain the level of, and past and future trends in, its household saving rate; second, the rapid aging of Japan's population is causing Japan's household saving rate to decline and this decline can be expected to continue; third, the pay-as-you-go nature of the public pension system, combined with rapid population aging, created considerable intergenerational inequities and increased the saving rates of cohorts born after 1965, which in turn slowed the decline in Japan's household saving rate; and fourth, the 2004 public pension reform alleviated the intergenerational inequities of Japan's public pension system somewhat but will in the long run exacerbate the downward trend in Japan's household saving rate. 
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