Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem.

AIDS, "Reversal" of the Demographic Transition and Economic Development: Evidence from Africa / Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan. - Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2006. - 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white); - NBER working paper series no. w12181 . - Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w12181. .

May 2006.

Using country- and region-level data, I investigate the effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility in Africa during 1985-2000. Results differ depending on the variation used and the estimation method. Between estimates that exploit cross-sectional variation suggest a positive significant effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility, whereas within estimates that are identified of off time-series variation show both positive and negative results depending on the HIV/AIDS variable used. These within estimates are insignificant in most of the specifications.




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