TY - BOOK AU - Nelson,Daniel B. ED - National Bureau of Economic Research. TI - Asymptotically Optimal Smoothing with ARCH Models T2 - NBER technical working paper series PY - 1994/// CY - Cambridge, Mass. PB - National Bureau of Economic Research N1 - August 1994; Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers N2 - Suppose an observed time series is generated by a stochastic volatility model-i.e., there is an unobservable state variable controlling the volatility of the innovations in the series. As shown by Nelson (1992), and Nelson and Foster (1994), a misspecified ARCH model will often be able to consistently (as a continuous time limit is approached) estimate the unobserved volatility process, using information in the lagged residuals. This paper shows how to more efficiently estimate such a volatility process using information in both lagged and led residuals. In particular, this paper expands the optimal filtering results of Nelson and Foster (1994) and Nelson (1994) to smoothing UR - https://www.nber.org/papers/t0161 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/t0161 ER -