Gagnon, Joseph E.
How Pervasive is the Product Cycle? The Empirical Dynamics of American and Japanese Trade Flows /
Joseph E. Gagnon, Andrew K. Rose.
- Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 1992.
- 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
- NBER working paper series no. w3946 .
- Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w3946. .
January 1992.
This paper looks for dynamic patterns in international trade flows using comprehensive multilateral American and Japanese data disaggregated to the four-digit SITC level. Little evidence is found of product-cycle dynamics between 1962 and 1988. Rather, goods that begin the sample in surplus (deficit) almost always remain in surplus (deficit) throughout the sample.
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