TY - BOOK AU - Artus,Jacques R. ED - National Bureau of Economic Research. TI - Effects of U.S. Monetary Restraint on the DM-$ Exchange Rate and the German Economy T2 - NBER working paper series PY - 1982/// CY - Cambridge, Mass. PB - National Bureau of Economic Research N1 - July 1982; Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers N2 - This paper assesses the quantitative effects of a shift to monetary restraint in the United States on the DM-$ exchange rate and the German economy. The results indicate that such effects are large. If Germany keeps its money growth unchanged, it will tend to experience a sharp and sustained depreciation of the deutsche mark and a significant increase in inflation and in unemployment. If it adopts an equivalent policy of monetary restraint, it will tend to benefit from a marked decline in inflation, but the cost in terms of lost output is extremely large UR - https://www.nber.org/papers/w0926 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w0926 ER -