TY  - GEN
AU  - Clark,John
AU  - Gibbons,Caroline
AU  - Morrissey,Susan
AU  - Pooley,Joshua
AU  - Pye,Emily
AU  - Wilcox,Rhett
AU  - Willard,Luke
TI  - Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts
PY  - 2014///
CY  - Paris
PB  - OECD Publishing
KW  - Finance and Investment
KW  - Governance
N2  - In this article, past forecast errors are used to construct confidence intervals around Australian Government Budget forecasts of key economic and fiscal variables. These confidence intervals provide an indication of the extent of uncertainty around the point estimate forecasts presented in the Budget. JEL classification numbers: E17, H68. Keywords: Confidence intervals, forecast errors, government budget, nominal GDP, real GDP, treasury, uncertainty
UR  - https://s443-doi-org.br.lsproxy.net/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
ER  -