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Global Portfolio Rebalancing and Exchange Rates / Nelson Camanho, Harald Hau, Hélène Rey.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ; no. w24320.Publication details: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2018.Description: 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white)Subject(s): Online resources: Available additional physical forms:
  • Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
Abstract: We examine international equity allocations at the fund level and show how excess foreign returns influence portfolio rebalancing, capital flows and currencies. Our equilibrium model of incomplete FX risk trading where exchange rate risk partially segments international equity markets is consistent with the observed dynamics of equity returns, exchange rates, and fund-level capital flows. We document that rebalancing is more intense under higher FX volatility and find heterogeneous rebalancing behavior across di¤erent fund characteristics. A granular instrumental variable (GIV) approach identifies a currency supply elasticity suggesting that an equity outflow shock of US$7.1 billion depreciates the dollar by 1 percent.
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February 2018.

We examine international equity allocations at the fund level and show how excess foreign returns influence portfolio rebalancing, capital flows and currencies. Our equilibrium model of incomplete FX risk trading where exchange rate risk partially segments international equity markets is consistent with the observed dynamics of equity returns, exchange rates, and fund-level capital flows. We document that rebalancing is more intense under higher FX volatility and find heterogeneous rebalancing behavior across di¤erent fund characteristics. A granular instrumental variable (GIV) approach identifies a currency supply elasticity suggesting that an equity outflow shock of US$7.1 billion depreciates the dollar by 1 percent.

Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers

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