000 02458cam a22003857 4500
001 w27988
003 NBER
005 20211020103453.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s2020 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aEichenbaum, Martin S.
_929337
245 1 0 _aHow do People Respond to Small Probability Events with Large, Negative Consequences? /
_cMartin S. Eichenbaum, Miguel Godinho de Matos, Francisco Lima, Sergio Rebelo, Mathias Trabandt.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2020.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w27988
500 _aOctober 2020.
520 3 _aWe study how people react to small probability events with large negative consequences using the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic as a natural experiment. Our analysis is based on a unique administrative data set with anonymized monthly expenditures at the individual level. We find that older consumers reduced their spending by more than younger consumers in a way that mirrors the age dependency in COVID-19 case-fatality rates. This differential expenditure reduction is much more prominent for high-contact goods than for low-contact goods and more pronounced in periods with high COVID-19 cases. Our results are consistent with the hypothesis that people react to the risk of contracting COVID-19 in a way that is consistent with a canonical model of risk taking.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aE21 - Consumption • Saving • Wealth
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aG51 - Household Saving, Borrowing, Debt, and Wealth
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aI1 - Health
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700 1 _ade Matos, Miguel Godinho.
700 1 _aLima, Francisco.
700 1 _aRebelo, Sergio.
700 1 _aTrabandt, Mathias.
_927801
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w27988.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27988
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w27988
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c320134
_d278696