| 000 | 02473cam a22003737 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | w27696 | ||
| 003 | NBER | ||
| 005 | 20211020103551.0 | ||
| 006 | m o d | ||
| 007 | cr cnu|||||||| | ||
| 008 | 210910s2020 mau fo 000 0 eng d | ||
| 100 | 1 | _aPhilip, Minu. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 |
_aDecoding India's Low Covid-19 Case Fatality rate / _cMinu Philip, Debraj Ray, S. Subramanian. |
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_aCambridge, Mass. _bNational Bureau of Economic Research _c2020. |
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_a1 online resource: _billustrations (black and white); |
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| 490 | 1 |
_aNBER working paper series _vno. w27696 |
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| 500 | _aAugust 2020. | ||
| 520 | 3 | _aIndia's case fatality rate (CFR) under covid-19 is strikingly low, trending from 3% or more, to a current level of around 2.2%. The world average rate is far higher, at around 4%. Several observers have noted that this difference is at least partly due to India's younger age distribution. In this paper, we use age-specific fatality rates from 14 comparison countries, coupled with India's distribution of covid-19 cases to "predict" what India's CFR would be with those age-specific rates. In most cases, those predictions are lower than India's actual performance, suggesting that India's CFR is, if anything, too high rather than too low. We supplement the prediction exercises with the application of a decomposition technique, and we additionally account for time lags between case incidence and death, for a more relevant cross-country perspective in the growth phase of the pandemic. | |
| 530 | _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers | ||
| 538 | _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files. | ||
| 538 | _aMode of access: World Wide Web. | ||
| 588 | 0 | _aPrint version record | |
| 690 | 7 |
_aJ10 - General _2Journal of Economic Literature class. |
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| 690 | 7 |
_aJ11 - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts _2Journal of Economic Literature class. |
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| 690 | 7 |
_aO10 - General _2Journal of Economic Literature class. |
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| 690 | 7 |
_aO57 - Comparative Studies of Countries _2Journal of Economic Literature class. |
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| 700 | 1 |
_aRay, Debraj. _919180 |
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| 700 | 1 |
_aSubramanian, S. _928308 |
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| 710 | 2 | _aNational Bureau of Economic Research. | |
| 830 | 0 |
_aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) _vno. w27696. |
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| 856 | 4 | 0 | _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27696 |
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_yAcceso en línea al DOI _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w27696 |
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_2ddc _cW-PAPER |
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_c320427 _d278989 |
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