000			02591cam a22003857 4500
001			w26611
003			NBER
005			20211020103915.0
006			m o d
007			cr cnu||||||||
008			210910s2020 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100	1		_aHandley, Kyle.
245	1	0	_aRising Import Tariffs, Falling Export Growth: _bWhen Modern Supply Chains Meet Old-Style Protectionism / _cKyle Handley, Fariha Kamal, Ryan Monarch.
260			_aCambridge, Mass. _bNational Bureau of Economic Research _c2020.
300			_a1 online resource: _billustrations (black and white);
490	1		_aNBER working paper series _vno. w26611
500			_aJanuary 2020.
520	3		_aWe examine the impacts of the 2018-2019 U.S. import tariff increases on U.S. export growth through the lens of supply chain linkages. Using 2016 confidential firm-trade linked data, we identify firms that eventually faced tariff increases. They accounted for 84% of all exports and represented 65% of manufacturing employment. For the average affected firm, the implied cost is $900 per worker in new duties. We construct product-level measures of exporters' exposure to import tariff increases and estimate the impact on U.S. export growth. The most exposed products had relatively lower export growth in 2018-2019, with larger effects in 2019. The decline in export growth in 2019Q3, for example, is equivalent to an ad valorem tariff on U.S. exports of 2% for the typical product and up to 4% for products with higher than average exposure.
530			_aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538			_aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538			_aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588	0		_aPrint version record
690		7	_aF1 - Trade _2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690		7	_aF13 - Trade Policy • International Trade Organizations _2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690		7	_aF14 - Empirical Studies of Trade _2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690		7	_aF23 - Multinational Firms • International Business _2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690		7	_aH2 - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue _2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700	1		_aKamal, Fariha.
700	1		_aMonarch, Ryan.
710	2		_aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830		0	_aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) _vno. w26611.
856	4	0	_uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26611
856			_yAcceso en línea al DOI _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w26611
942			_2ddc _cW-PAPER
999			_c321511 _d280073