000 02693cam a22003617 4500
001 w26351
003 NBER
005 20211020104003.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s2019 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aDupraz, Stéphane.
245 1 2 _aA Plucking Model of Business Cycles /
_cStéphane Dupraz, Emi Nakamura, Jón Steinsson.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2019.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w26351
500 _aOctober 2019.
520 3 _aIn standard models, economic activity fluctuates symmetrically around a "natural rate" and stabilization policies can dampen these fluctuations but do not affect the average level of activity. An alternative view--labeled the "plucking model" by Milton Friedman--is that economic fluctuations are drops below the economy's full potential ceiling. We show that the dynamics of the unemployment rate in the US display a striking asymmetry that strongly favors the plucking model: increases in unemployment are followed by decreases of similar amplitude, while the amplitude of the increase is not related to the amplitude of the previous decrease. We develop a microfounded plucking model of the business cycle. In our model, the plucking asymmetry results from downward nominal wage rigidity, which we rationalize using a search model. Our model also matches the fact that unemployment rises much faster during recessions than it falls during expansions. In our plucking model, stabilization policy lowers average unemployment and thereby yields sizable welfare gains.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aE24 - Employment • Unemployment • Wages • Intergenerational Income Distribution • Aggregate Human Capital • Aggregate Labor Productivity
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aE32 - Business Fluctuations • Cycles
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aE52 - Monetary Policy
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700 1 _aNakamura, Emi.
_917406
700 1 _aSteinsson, Jón.
_921164
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w26351.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26351
856 _yAcceso en línea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w26351
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c321772
_d280334