000 02803cam a22004097 4500
001 w26146
003 NBER
005 20211020104048.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s2019 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aAnderson, Soren T.
245 1 0 _aCan Pigou at the Polls Stop Us Melting the Poles? /
_cSoren T. Anderson, Ioana Marinescu, Boris Shor.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2019.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w26146
500 _aAugust 2019.
520 3 _aSurveys show majority U.S. support for a carbon tax. Yet none has been adopted. Why? We study two failed carbon tax initiatives in Washington State in 2016 and 2018. Using a difference-in-differences approach, we show that Washington's real-world campaigns reduced support by 20 percentage points. Resistance to higher energy prices explains opposition to these policies in the average precinct, while ideology explains 90% of the variation in votes across precincts. Conservatives preferred the 2016 revenue-neutral policy, while liberals preferred the 2018 green-spending policy. Yet we forecast both initiatives would fail in other states, demonstrating that surveys are overly optimistic.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aD72 - Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aH23 - Externalities • Redistributive Effects • Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aH71 - State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aH72 - State and Local Budget and Expenditures
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aQ52 - Pollution Control Adoption and Costs • Distributional Effects • Employment Effects
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aQ54 - Climate • Natural Disasters and Their Management • Global Warming
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aQ58 - Government Policy
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700 1 _aMarinescu, Ioana.
700 1 _aShor, Boris.
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w26146.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26146
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w26146
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c321976
_d280538