000 02233cam a22003497 4500
001 w25412
003 NBER
005 20211020104308.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s2018 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aCoibion, Olivier.
_98255
245 1 0 _aInflation Expectations and Firm Decisions:
_bNew Causal Evidence /
_cOlivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Tiziano Ropele.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2018.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w25412
500 _aDecember 2018.
520 3 _aWe use a unique design feature of a survey of Italian firms to study the causal effect of inflation expectations on firms' economic decisions. In the survey, a randomly chosen subset of firms is repeatedly treated with information about recent inflation whereas other firms are not. This information treatment generates exogenous variation in inflation expectations. We find that higher inflation expectations on the part of firms leads them to raise their prices, increase demand for credit, and reduce their employment and capital. However, when policy rates are constrained by the effective lower bound, demand effects are stronger, leading firms to raise their prices more and no longer reduce their employment.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aE2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aE3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700 1 _aGorodnichenko, Yuriy.
_927289
700 1 _aRopele, Tiziano.
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w25412.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25412
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w25412
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c322710
_d281272