000 03240cam a22003857 4500
001 w23407
003 NBER
005 20211020104923.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s2017 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aAlfaro, Laura.
_94710
245 1 0 _aLessons Unlearned? Corporate Debt in Emerging Markets /
_cLaura Alfaro, Gonzalo Asis, Anusha Chari, Ugo Panizza.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2017.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w23407
500 _aMay 2017.
520 3 _aThis paper documents a set of new stylized facts about leverage and financial fragility for emerging market firms following the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Corporate debt vulnerability indicators during the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) attributed to corporate financial roots provide a benchmark for comparison. Firm-level data show that post-GFC, emerging market corporate balance sheet indicators have not deteriorated to AFC crisis-country levels. However, more countries are close to or in the "vulnerable" range of Altman's Z-score, and average leverage for the entire emerging market sample is higher in the post-GFC period than during the AFC. Regression estimates suggest that the relationship between leverage, exchange rate depreciations, and corporate financial distress is time varying. Also, a central finding is that firm size is correlated with corporate distress and, further, that currency depreciations amplify the impact of leverage on financial vulnerability for large firms during a crisis. Consistent with Gabaix (2011) the paper finds a granularity effect in that large firms are systemically important--idiosyncratic shocks to the sales growth of large firms significantly correlate with GDP growth in our emerging markets sample. Relatedly, the sales growth of large firms with higher leverage is more adversely impacted by exchange rate shocks. While this result holds for the average country in our sample, there is substantial cross-country heterogeneity.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aF34 - International Lending and Debt Problems
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aG01 - Financial Crises
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aG15 - International Financial Markets
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aG32 - Financing Policy • Financial Risk and Risk Management • Capital and Ownership Structure • Value of Firms • Goodwill
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700 1 _aAsis, Gonzalo.
700 1 _aChari, Anusha.
_97823
700 1 _aPanizza, Ugo.
_918129
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w23407.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23407
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w23407
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c324715
_d283277