000 02291cam a22003377 4500
001 w21202
003 NBER
005 20211020105615.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s2015 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aTrebbi, Francesco.
245 1 0 _aInsurgency and Small Wars:
_bEstimation of Unobserved Coalition Structures /
_cFrancesco Trebbi, Eric Weese.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2015.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w21202
500 _aMay 2015.
520 3 _aInsurgency and guerrilla warfare impose enormous socio-economic costs and often persist for decades. The opacity of such forms of conflict is often an obstacle to effective international humanitarian intervention and development programs. To shed light on the internal organization of otherwise unknown insurgent groups, this paper proposes two methodologies for the detection of unobserved coalitions of militant factions in conflict areas, and studies their main determinants. Our approach is parsimonious and based on daily geocoded incident-level data on insurgent attacks alone. We provide applications to the Afghan conflict during the 2004-2009 period and to Pakistan during the 2008-2011 period, identifying systematically different coalition structures. Further applications are discussed.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aO1 - Economic Development
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aP48 - Political Economy • Legal Institutions • Property Rights • Natural Resources • Energy • Environment • Regional Studies
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700 1 _aWeese, Eric.
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w21202.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w21202
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w21202
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c326920
_d285482