000 | 02953cam a22003617 4500 | ||
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001 | w20307 | ||
003 | NBER | ||
005 | 20211020105857.0 | ||
006 | m o d | ||
007 | cr cnu|||||||| | ||
008 | 210910s2014 mau fo 000 0 eng d | ||
100 | 1 | _aCortes, Guido Matias. | |
245 | 1 | 4 |
_aThe Micro and Macro of Disappearing Routine Jobs: _bA Flows Approach / _cGuido Matias Cortes, Nir Jaimovich, Christopher J. Nekarda, Henry E. Siu. |
260 |
_aCambridge, Mass. _bNational Bureau of Economic Research _c2014. |
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300 |
_a1 online resource: _billustrations (black and white); |
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490 | 1 |
_aNBER working paper series _vno. w20307 |
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500 | _aJuly 2014. | ||
520 | 3 | _aThe U.S. labor market has become increasingly polarized since the 1980s, with the share of employment in middle-wage occupations shrinking over time. This job polarization process has been associated with the disappearance of per capita employment in occupations focused on routine tasks. We use matched individual-level data from the CPS to study labor market flows into and out of routine occupations and determine how this disappearance has played out at the "micro" and "macro" levels. At the macro level, we determine which changes in transition rates account for the disappearance of routine employment since the 1980s. We find that changes in three transition rate categories are of primary importance: (i) that from unemployment to employment in routine occupations, (ii) that from labor force non-participation to routine employment, and (iii) that from routine employment to non-participation. At the micro level, we study how these transition rates have changed since job polarization, and the extent to which these changes are accounted for by changes in demographic composition or changes in the behavior of individuals with particular demographic characteristics. We find that the preponderance of changes is due to the propensity of individuals to make such transitions, and relatively little due to demographics. Moreover, we find that changes in the transition propensities of the young are of primary importance in accounting for the fall in routine employment. | |
530 | _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers | ||
538 | _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files. | ||
538 | _aMode of access: World Wide Web. | ||
588 | 0 | _aPrint version record | |
690 | 7 |
_aE0 - General _2Journal of Economic Literature class. |
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690 | 7 |
_aJ0 - General _2Journal of Economic Literature class. |
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700 | 1 |
_aJaimovich, Nir. _928272 |
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700 | 1 |
_aNekarda, Christopher J. _933391 |
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700 | 1 |
_aSiu, Henry E. _920837 |
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710 | 2 | _aNational Bureau of Economic Research. | |
830 | 0 |
_aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) _vno. w20307. |
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856 | 4 | 0 | _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w20307 |
856 |
_yAcceso en lĂnea al DOI _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w20307 |
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_2ddc _cW-PAPER |
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_c327816 _d286378 |