000 02953cam a22003617 4500
001 w20307
003 NBER
005 20211020105857.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s2014 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aCortes, Guido Matias.
245 1 4 _aThe Micro and Macro of Disappearing Routine Jobs:
_bA Flows Approach /
_cGuido Matias Cortes, Nir Jaimovich, Christopher J. Nekarda, Henry E. Siu.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2014.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w20307
500 _aJuly 2014.
520 3 _aThe U.S. labor market has become increasingly polarized since the 1980s, with the share of employment in middle-wage occupations shrinking over time. This job polarization process has been associated with the disappearance of per capita employment in occupations focused on routine tasks. We use matched individual-level data from the CPS to study labor market flows into and out of routine occupations and determine how this disappearance has played out at the "micro" and "macro" levels. At the macro level, we determine which changes in transition rates account for the disappearance of routine employment since the 1980s. We find that changes in three transition rate categories are of primary importance: (i) that from unemployment to employment in routine occupations, (ii) that from labor force non-participation to routine employment, and (iii) that from routine employment to non-participation. At the micro level, we study how these transition rates have changed since job polarization, and the extent to which these changes are accounted for by changes in demographic composition or changes in the behavior of individuals with particular demographic characteristics. We find that the preponderance of changes is due to the propensity of individuals to make such transitions, and relatively little due to demographics. Moreover, we find that changes in the transition propensities of the young are of primary importance in accounting for the fall in routine employment.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aE0 - General
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aJ0 - General
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700 1 _aJaimovich, Nir.
_928272
700 1 _aNekarda, Christopher J.
_933391
700 1 _aSiu, Henry E.
_920837
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w20307.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w20307
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w20307
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c327816
_d286378