000 02414cam a22003377 4500
001 w19465
003 NBER
005 20211020110140.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s2013 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aBackus, David.
245 1 0 _aDemography and Low Frequency Capital Flows /
_cDavid Backus, Thomas Cooley, Espen Henriksen.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2013.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w19465
500 _aSeptember 2013.
520 3 _aWe consider the causes of international capital flows. Since capital flows are extremely persistent, we argue that their drivers must be persistent, too. We think the most compelling candidates are demographic trends, tfp differences and financial frictions. In this paper we focus primarily on the role of demography in a multi-country overlapping generations model in which saving decisions are tied to agents' life expectancy. Capital flows reflect differences between saving and investment across countries. Demographic changes affect the aggregate accumulation of assets in two ways: by changing life expectancy which changes individual household saving behavior, and by changing the age distribution of the population by which individual household decisions are aggregated. The most important drivers turn out to be increases in life expectancy caused by decreases in adult mortality.We use a quantitative version of the model to illustrate the impact of demography on capital flows and net foreign assets in China, Germany, Japan, and the United States.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aJ11 - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700 1 _aCooley, Thomas.
700 1 _aHenriksen, Espen.
_929900
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w19465.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w19465
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w19465
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c328658
_d287220