000 02777cam a22004217 4500
001 w15802
003 NBER
005 20211020111242.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s2010 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aAragon, Diego.
245 1 0 _aReassessing FHA Risk /
_cDiego Aragon, Andrew Caplin, Sumit Chopra, John V. Leahy, Yann LeCun, Marco Scoffier, Joseph Tracy .
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2010.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w15802
500 _aMarch 2010.
520 3 _aFederal Housing Administration (FHA) insurance has doubled over the past two years and is projected to redouble to $1.5 trillion over the next five. Despite clear signs of strain in the FHA's Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund, a recent actuarial review indicates that the FHA will not need any form of government support. We identify four risk factors that make such a funding request more likely; the review underestimates how many FHA borrowers are underwater and in economic distress; it uses measures of house values that lower loss estimates; it does not incorporate early-warning signals of future losses that are available from mortgage delinquency; and it ignores potential risks associated with recent down-payment assistant programs despite higher losses on previous programs of this type. We propose measures that could be taken to improve the predictive accuracy of FHA risk assessment.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aD14 - Household Saving • Personal Finance
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aG21 - Banks • Depository Institutions • Micro Finance Institutions • Mortgages
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aG28 - Government Policy and Regulation
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aH81 - Governmental Loans • Loan Guarantees • Credits • Grants • Bailouts
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700 1 _aCaplin, Andrew.
_97360
700 1 _aChopra, Sumit.
700 1 _aLeahy, John V.
_915002
700 1 _aLeCun, Yann.
700 1 _aScoffier, Marco.
700 1 _aTracy, Joseph.
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w15802.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w15802
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w15802
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c332320
_d290882