000 02446cam a22003377 4500
001 w13421
003 NBER
005 20211020111946.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s2007 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aShimer, Robert.
_920676
245 1 0 _aReassessing the Ins and Outs of Unemployment /
_cRobert Shimer.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2007.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w13421
500 _aSeptember 2007.
520 3 _aThis paper uses readily accessible data to measure the probability that an employed worker becomes unemployed and the probability that an unemployed worker finds a job, the ins and outs of unemployment. Since 1948, the job finding probability has accounted for three-quarters of the fluctuations in the unemployment rate in the United States and the employment exit probability for one-quarter. Fluctuations in the employment exit probability are quantitatively irrelevant during the last two decades. Using the underlying microeconomic data, the paper shows that these results are not due to compositional changes in the pool of searching workers, nor are they due to movements of workers in and out of the labor force. These results contradict the conventional wisdom that has guided the development of macroeconomic models of the labor market during the last fifteen years.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aJ6 - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aE24 - Employment • Unemployment • Wages • Intergenerational Income Distribution • Aggregate Human Capital • Aggregate Labor Productivity
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aE32 - Business Fluctuations • Cycles
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w13421.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13421
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w13421
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c334706
_d293268