000 02734cam a22003737 4500
001 w12377
003 NBER
005 20211020112246.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s2006 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aSalkever, David S.
_920067
245 1 0 _aUsing Target Efficiency to Select Program Participants and Risk-Factor Models:
_bAn Application to Child Mental Health Interventions for Preventing Future Crime /
_cDavid S. Salkever, Stephen Johnston, Mustafa C. Karakus, Nicholas Ialongo, Eric Slade.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2006.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w12377
500 _aJuly 2006.
520 3 _aStatistical risk factor models are often proposed for screening high-risk children to participate in early intervention programs. Recent contributions to the program evaluation literature demonstrate the need for incorporating judgments about relative importance of false positives versus false negatives in screening. This paper formalizes these judgments as commensurable economic costs and benefits and applies them to demonstrate an approach to participant selection motivated by the standard cost-benefit criterion of maximizing expected net benefits. Implications of this approach are explored using data from a mental health prevention trial. We illustrate the response of expected net benefits to the choice of a selection risk level, the sensitivity of the optimal selection risk level to per participant cost/benefit magnitudes, and the use of the target-efficiency approach for choosing among alternative risk-factor models. Several strategies that directly incorporate expected net benefit maximization as a criterion in the model estimation process are also examined.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aI12 - Health Behavior
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aD61 - Allocative Efficiency • Cost–Benefit Analysis
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700 1 _aJohnston, Stephen.
700 1 _aKarakus, Mustafa C.
700 1 _aIalongo, Nicholas.
700 1 _aSlade, Eric.
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w12377.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w12377
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w12377
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c335765
_d294327