000 02470cam a22003257 4500
001 w5108
003 NBER
005 20211020114252.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s1995 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aTornell, Aaron.
245 1 0 _aFixed versus Flexible Exchange Rates:
_bWhich Provides More Fiscal Discipline? /
_cAaron Tornell, Andres Velasco.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c1995.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w5108
500 _aMay 1995.
520 3 _aIn recent years the conventional wisdom has held that fixed rates provide more fiscal discipline than do flexible rates. In this paper we show that this wisdom need not hold in a standard model in which fiscal policy is endogenously determined by a maximizing fiscal authority. The claim that fixed rates induce more discipline stresses that sustained adoption of lax fiscal policies must eventually lead to an exhaustion of reserves and thus to a politically costly collapse of the peg. Hence, under fixed rates bad behavior today leads to punishment tomorrow. Under flexible rates bad behavior has costs as well. The difference is in the intertemporal distribution of these costs: flexible rates allow the effects of unsound fiscal policies to manifest themselves immediately through movements in the exchange rate. Hence, bad behavior today leads to punishment today. If fiscal authorities are impatient, flexible rates - by forcing the costs to be paid up-front - provide more fiscal discipline and higher welfare for the representative private agent. The recent experience of Sub- Saharan countries supplies some preliminary evidence that matches the predictions of the model.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aF31 - Foreign Exchange
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700 1 _aVelasco, Andres.
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w5108.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w5108
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w5108
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c343255
_d301817