000 01601cam a22003137 4500
001 w3807
003 NBER
005 20211020114633.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s1991 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aChinn, Menzie.
245 1 0 _aPatterns in Exchange Rate Forecasts for 25 Currencies /
_cMenzie Chinn, Jeffrey Frankel.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c1991.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w3807
500 _aAugust 1991.
520 3 _aWe investigate the properties of exchange rate forecasts with a data set encompassing a broad cross section of currencies. The key finding is that expectations appear to be biased in our sample. This result is robust to the possibility of random measurement error in the survey measures. Investors would be better off placing less weight on their forecasts or the forward rate, and more on the current spot rate.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
700 1 _aFrankel, Jeffrey.
_910691
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w3807.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w3807
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w3807
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c344666
_d303228