000 02240cam a22003017 4500
001 w0648
003 NBER
005 20211020115426.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s1981 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aMakin, John H.
_915899
245 1 0 _aInternational Capital Flows under Full Monetary Equilibrium:
_bAn Empirical Analysis /
_cJohn H. Makin.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c1981.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w0648
500 _aMarch 1981.
520 3 _aThis paper develops a theory of international capital flows based upon a monetary-equilibrium, rational-expectation theory of exchanged rate determination extended to include the official intervention and possible sterilization of its effects upon the monetary base that are part of the post-1973 system of limited flexibility of exchange rates. Capital flows are shown to depend only on the current expectation of a future relative excess money supplies once all arbitrage conditions are imposed along with rationality. Empirical testing reveals that U.S. international capital flows respond with persistent, damped oscillations to growth of relative excess money. This phenomenon is a quantity adjustment corollary of '"overshooting" of exchange rates in response to changes in relative excess money supply. Inclusion of a relative interest rate term along with measures of growth of relative excess money supply results in rejection of the hypothesis that such a variable provides any additional explanatory power regarding behavior of U.S. international capital flows.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w0648.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w0648
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w0648
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c347950
_d306512