000 02569caa a22003378i 4500
001 431350563511
003 FR-PaOEC
005 20210419165722.0
006 a o d i
007 cr || |||m|n||
008 171201s2006 ||| o i|0| 0 eng d
035 _a(FR-PaOEC)
040 _aFR-PaOEC
084 _aC22
_2jelc
084 _aP27
_2jelc
084 _aF19
_2jelc
084 _aO11
_2jelc
100 1 _aGianella, Christian.
245 1 0 _aAssessing Russia's Non-fuel Trade Elasticities
_h[electronic resource]:
_bDoes the Russian Economy React "Normally" to Exchange Rate Movements? /
_cChristian Gianella and Corinne Chanteloup = Évaluation des élasticités-prix du commerce extérieur hors hydrocarbures en Russie : L'économie russe réagit-elle "normalement" aux mouvements de taux de change ? / Christian Gianella et Corinne Chanteloup
246 3 1 _aÉvaluation des élasticités-prix du commerce extérieur hors hydrocarbures en Russie
_bL'économie russe réagit-elle "normalement" aux mouvements de taux de change ?
260 _aParis :
_bOECD Publishing,
_c2006.
300 _a28 p. ;
_c21 x 29.7cm.
490 1 _aOECD Economics Department Working Papers,
_x18151973 ;
_vno.510
520 3 _aThis paper attempts to assess the impact of exchange rate movements on Russian import and nonfuel export performance, using an error correction model. The estimation of trade equations shows that long-run price elasticities for imports and non-fuel exports are close to 0.6 and 0.7 respectively, hence relatively similar to those obtained for OECD countries. The Marshall-Lerner condition clearly holds. More precisely, we find that a 10% real appreciation (depreciation) of the currency leads on average to a non-fuel current account deterioration (improvement) of around 1% of GDP. Moreover, the short-term dynamics of the error correction model indicate that the response of the trade balance to exchange rate shocks is rapid, the adjustment being almost complete after one quarter. Finally, the evolution of import prices and non-fuel export prices of Russia, relatively to its competitors on domestic and third markets, suggests that the Russian economy lost already in 2004 the price-competitiveness advantage it had gained after the 1998 crisis.
650 4 _aEconomics
651 4 _aRussian Federation
700 1 _aChanteloup, Corinne.
830 0 _aOECD Economics Department Working Papers,
_x18151973 ;
_vno.510.
856 4 0 _aoecd-ilibrary.org
_uhttps://s443-doi-org.br.lsproxy.net/10.1787/431350563511
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c358237
_d316799