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035 _a(FR-PaOEC)
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084 _aJ45
_2jelc
084 _aH11
_2jelc
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_2jelc
084 _aO57
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100 1 _aHøj, Jens.
245 1 4 _aThe Labour Market Impact of Rapid Ageing of Government Employees
_h[electronic resource]:
_bSome Illustrative Scenarios /
_cJens Høj and Sylvie Toly = Conséquences sur le marché du travail du vieillissement rapide des employés du secteur public / Jens Høj et Sylvie Toly
246 3 1 _aConséquences sur le marché du travail du vieillissement rapide des employés du secteur public
260 _aParis :
_bOECD Publishing,
_c2005.
300 _a28 p. ;
_c21 x 29.7cm.
490 1 _aOECD Economics Department Working Papers,
_x18151973 ;
_vno.441
520 3 _aThis paper estimates and discusses some of the potential labour market implications arising from the rapid ageing of government employees in a number of OECD countries. Under alternative scenarios for future public employment policies, available labour resources for the private sector are estimated taking into account the declining age cohorts entering the labour market. These scenarios suggest that, in the absence of considerable increases in labour utilisation, maintaining government sector hiring at their historical share of new labour market entrants will entail sharp declines in the production of government services. On the other hand, if present levels of government services are to be preserved, governments are likely to hire an increasing share of labour market entrants, creating a strong crowding-out effect for the private sector. Alternatively, productivity in the government sector would have to increase substantially.
650 4 _aEconomics
700 1 _aToly, Sylvie.
830 0 _aOECD Economics Department Working Papers,
_x18151973 ;
_vno.441.
856 4 0 _aoecd-ilibrary.org
_uhttps://s443-doi-org.br.lsproxy.net/10.1787/231461163325
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c359079
_d317641