000 02518cam a22003857 4500
001 w28710
003 NBER
005 20211020103222.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 210910s2021 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aDenning, Jeffrey T.
245 1 0 _aWhy Have College Completion Rates Increased? An Analysis of Rising Grades /
_cJeffrey T. Denning, Eric R. Eide, Kevin Mumford, Richard W. Patterson, Merrill Warnick.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2021.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w28710
500 _aApril 2021.
520 3 _aCollege completion rates declined from the 1970s to the 1990s. We document that this trend has reversed--since the 1990s, college completion rates have increased. We investigate the reasons for the increase in college graduation rates. Collectively, student characteristics, institutional resources, and institution attended do not explain much of the change. However, we show that grade inflation can explain much of the change in graduation rates. We show that GPA is a strong predictor of graduation rates and that GPAs have been rising since the 1990s. We also find that in national survey data and rich administrative data from 9 large public universities increases in college GPAs cannot be explained by student demographics, preparation, and school factors. Further, we find that at a public liberal arts college, grades have increased over time conditional on final exam performance.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aI20 - General
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aI21 - Analysis of Education
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aI23 - Higher Education • Research Institutions
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700 1 _aEide, Eric R.
700 1 _aMumford, Kevin.
700 1 _aPatterson, Richard W.
700 1 _aWarnick, Merrill.
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w28710.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w28710
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w28710
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c388120
_d346682