000 02668cam a22003617 4500
001 w29722
003 NBER
005 20220304095200.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 220304s2022 mau fo 000 0 eng d
100 1 _aBailey, Martha J.
_933089
245 1 4 _aThe Missing Baby Bust:
_bThe Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic for Contraceptive Use, Pregnancy, and Childbirth among Low-Income Women /
_cMartha J. Bailey, Lea J. Bart, Vanessa Wanner Lang.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2022.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w29722
500 _aFebruary 2022.
520 3 _aMultiple episodes in U.S. history demonstrate that birth rates fall in response to recessions. However, the 2020 COVID-19 recession differed from earlier periods in that employment and access to contraception and abortion fell, as reproductive health centers across the country temporarily closed or reduced their capacity. This paper exploits novel survey and administrative data to examine how reductions in access to reproductive health care during 2020 affected contraceptive efficacy among low-income women. Accounting for 2020's reductions in access to contraception and the economic slowdown, our results predict a modest decline in births of 1.1 percent in 2021 for low-income women. Further accounting for reductions in access to abortion implies that birth rates may even rise for low-income women. These results also suggest that already economically disadvantaged families disproportionately affected by the COVID-19 economy will experience a large increase in unplanned births.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aJ1 - Demographic Economics
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aJ11 - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
690 7 _aJ13 - Fertility • Family Planning • Child Care • Children • Youth
_2Journal of Economic Literature class.
700 1 _aBart, Lea J.
700 1 _aLang, Vanessa Wanner.
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w29722.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w29722
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w29722
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c389077
_d347639