000 02359cam a22004217a 4500
001 w30409
003 NBER
005 20221003144720.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 221003s2022 mau fo 000 0 eng d
040 _aMaCbNBER
_beng
_cMaCbNBER
100 1 _aKocherlakota, Narayana R.
_914420
245 1 0 _aInfinite Debt Rollover in Stochastic Economies /
_cNarayana R. Kocherlakota.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2022.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w30409
500 _aAugust 2022.
520 3 _aThis paper shows that there is more scope for a borrower to engage in a sustainable infinite debt rollover (a "Ponzi scheme") when interest/growth rates are stochastic. In this context, I prove that the relevant "r vs. g" comparison uses the yield r_{long} to an infinite-maturity zero-coupon bond. I show that r_{long} is lower than the (risk-neutral) expectation of the short-term yield when it is variable, and that r_{long} is close to the minimal realization of the short-term yield when it is highly persistent. The paper applies these results to illustrative heterogeneous agent dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models to obtain weak sufficient conditions for the existence of public debt bubbles.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aInterest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
_2jelc
650 7 _aInterest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
_2jelc
084 _aE43
_2jelc
690 7 _aMonetary Policy
_2jelc
650 7 _aMonetary Policy
_2jelc
084 _aE52
_2jelc
690 7 _aFiscal Policy • Modern Monetary Theory
_2jelc
650 7 _aFiscal Policy • Modern Monetary Theory
_2jelc
084 _aE62
_2jelc
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w30409.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w30409
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w30409
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c390004
_d348566